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#TheyAreAfraid · 2 of 5

They can count.
That is why they are afraid.

Every number that matters is moving against them. Their votes are shrinking, their approval has collapsed, and in the one big test since, they lost.

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#TheyAreAfraid

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APC votes: 15.4 million in 2015, 8.8 million in 2023. #TheyAreAfraid
9.4%, 14%, 93%: the numbers. #TheyAreAfraid
Vote intention September 2026: NDC 42%, APC 26%. #TheyAreAfraid
Osun, August 2026: they still lost by 66,252 votes. #TheyAreAfraid
APC presidential votes, in millions
2015
15.4 million
2019
15.2 million
2023
8.8 million
INEC declared results. In 2023 the winner got 36.6% of votes cast and 9.4% of registered voters.
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APC votes: 15.4 million in 2015. 8.8 million in 2023. They are shrinking, and they know it.

9.4%of registered voters chose the man who now rules Nigeria.
14%approved of the president’s performance in 2024, down from 54% in 2020.
93%of Nigerians say the country is going in the wrong direction.
The poll they do not talk about

NDC 42%. APC 26%.

Vote intention, September 2026 (SBM Intelligence)
APC 25.5%
NDC
42.2%

The second wave of SBM Intelligence’s 2026 voter sentiment tracker: 1,103 people in 12 states and the FCT. A poll is not a vote. That is why every one of us must bring 20.

Osun, August 2026

They had everything. They still lost.

In Osun the ruling party had federal power, the EFCC froze the state’s accounts 10 days before the vote, and the governor stood without any federal backing. The people came out, stayed at their polling units, and followed the results to every collation centre.

The APC candidate lost by 66,252 votes, the biggest margin in Osun since 2014. That is what they saw. That is what they fear for January.

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In Osun they had federal power and froze the state’s accounts. They still lost by 66,252 votes. They saw it. They are afraid.

The math

They are few. We are many.

They have
We have
31 governors.
The people who elected them.
Some compromised officials.
Thousands of INEC officials who will do what is right.
The police.
Policemen whose own children go to bed hungry too.
The power of the state.
The people.
Billions of naira.
20 million witnesses with phones.
Convoys and gates.
35 million Nigerians in food crisis who need change.

The people who oppress us are not more than the oppressed. That is the arithmetic they fear.

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They have 31 governors. We have the people.

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They have the police. We have policemen whose children go to bed hungry too.

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They have the power of the state. We have the people. #TheyAreAfraid

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14% approval. 93% say wrong direction. NDC 42%, APC 26%. Numbers don’t lie. That is why they are afraid.

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Dem sabi count. Na why dem dey fear.

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Where these numbers come from

Attack count: our log of named public statements by Presidency aides, APC leaders and the APC Presidential Campaign Council, 1 May to 27 September 2026, from BusinessDay, P.M. News, Vanguard, Tribune, The Guardian, Premium Times, TheCable, Naija News, Ripples Nigeria, Nigerian Eye, Legit.ng, Voice of Nigeria and others. Electoral reform: Arbiterz and other reports of the House session of 17 February 2026 (clause 60(3)); reports of the Senate vote rejecting mandatory real-time transmission; EU EOM 2023 report. INEC declared results 2015, 2019 and 2023; International IDEA. Afrobarometer Round 10 (2024). SBM Intelligence voter sentiment tracker (September 2026 wave). Osun 2026: Wikipedia and Daily Trust. Governor defections: Channels TV, Vanguard, Premium Times, ICIR, BusinessDay (April 2025 to March 2026). Senate composition: Vanguard (24 June 2026). Electoral Act 2026 and INEC timetable: Premium Times (February 2026). EFCC and Osun accounts: Wikipedia, Nigerian Bar Association. El-Rufai: Punch (February 2026). Sowore: Wikipedia with Punch and TheCable. CPJ (May 2026). Amnesty International. Premium Times (Tinubu, 30 April 2026). Daily Trust and Leadership (APC chairman, May 2025).

Every figure on this site comes from a named public source, checked in September 2026. Where we did the arithmetic ourselves, we say so.

Vote & Mobilise for Peter Obi & Kwankwaso · #12YearsOfAPC · #TheyAreAfraid · The election is on Saturday, 16 January 2027.