Not keptPromised 2015
At least 20,000MW of electricity within four years.
The grid averaged 4,476MW in 2025.
Chapter 8 of 10 · The promises
30 promises.
Only 3 kept.
The 2015 manifesto is still on the APC website. The 2023 “Renewed Hope” plan still exists. We checked 30 of their promises against the record.
The score
30 promises. 3 kept.
15
2
5
5
3
Not keptReversed: they did the oppositePartly keptStill waiting, off track or cannot be checkedKept
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30 promises checked. 3 kept. 15 not kept, 3 off track. 2 done in reverse. Would you hire this person again?
Every promise
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Not keptPromised 2015
Economic growth of 10% every year.
Under 2% a year on average from 2015 to 2025, with two recessions.
Not keptPromised 2015
3 million new jobs every year.
Unemployment rose from 10.4% to 33.3% by 2020. Then the way it is counted was changed.
Not keptPromised 2015
₦5,000 a month to the 25 million poorest Nigerians.
About 298,000 households were being paid in 2018.
Partly keptPromised 2015
One free meal a day for public primary pupils.
Reached 9.8 million pupils by 2019, then stopped during the 2020 lockdown.
Not keptPromised 2015
3,000km of superhighway and 4,800km of new railway, a third by 2019.
About 670km of new railway opened.
Not keptPromised 2015
2 million new home owners in the first year, then 1 million a year.
About 2,000 houses finished by 2021.
Not keptPromised 2015
Up to 20% of the budget for education.
Never above 7.92%. About 6% in 2026.
Not keptPromised 2015
Cut deaths of mothers by 70% and add 10 years to life.
Mothers’ deaths fell 15%. Life expectancy rose 2.7 years.
Partly keptPromised 2015
Publicly declare assets.
Only a summary was released. Tinubu has not published his.
Not keptPromised 2015
No Nigerian will need to go abroad for medical treatment.
Their own president spent about 225 days in London on medical trips.
Partly keptPromised 2015
Rescue the Chibok girls.
87 of the 276 are still missing (parents, April 2026).
Not keptPromised 2015
Defeat Boko Haram.
11,968 killed in conflict in 2025 (ACLED).
Still waitingPromised 2015
State police.
The bill went to state assemblies in September 2026, eleven years later.
KeptPromised 2015
Pass the Petroleum Industry Bill.
Signed in August 2021.
Not keptPromised 2015
35% of government appointments for women.
9 of 48 ministerial nominees in 2023.
Not keptPromised 2015
Remove immunity so elected officials can be prosecuted.
Never done.
Not keptPromised 2015
Revive the four government refineries.
Nearly $3 billion in repair contracts. Zero output in 2026.
ReversedPromised 2015
Cut the presidential air fleet.
A $100 million Airbus was added in 2024.
KeptPromised 2023
Unify the exchange rate.
Done in June 2023. The naira then fell from ₦461 to as low as ₦1,690.
Partly keptPromised 2023
Remove the fuel subsidy and use the savings for the poor.
Pump price tripled. Cash reached only 37% of the target households.
Still waitingPromised 2023
Cut youth unemployment in half in four years.
Cannot be checked. The counting method was changed in 2023.
Not keptPromised 2023
1 million tech jobs in 24 months.
135,000 people trained and 15,000 “job pathways” by February 2026.
ReversedPromised 2023
Lower interest rates.
Raised from 18.5% to a peak of 27.5% in 2024. Now 23%.
Off track (due 2027)Promised 2023
Oil output of 2.6 million barrels a day by 2027.
1.5 million barrels a day in August 2026.
KeptPromised 2023
Student loans.
1.64 million students had received loans by July 2026.
Off track (due 2027)Promised 2023
1 million gas-powered (CNG) vehicles by 2027.
About 120,000 conversions: 12% of the target.
Off track (due 2027)Promised 2023
50,000 Renewed Hope homes, 100,000 by 2027.
2,084 ready to live in by June 2026.
Partly keptPromised 2023
A living minimum wage.
₦70,000, worth $43.50 the day it was signed. 20 states were not paying it in full in 2026.
Not keptPromised 2023
Security will be the top priority.
11,968 killed in conflict in 2025.
Independent trackers found the same. In June 2026 the AdvoKC Foundation scored Tinubu’s 53 campaign promises: 11 fulfilled, 22 compromised, 20 broken.
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