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#TheyAreAfraid · 2 of 5

Dem sabi count.
Na why dem dey fear.

Every number wey matter dey go against dem. Their votes dey reduce, pipo no like dem again, and for the one big test wey don happen since, dem lose.

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#TheyAreAfraid

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APC votes: 15.4 million in 2015, 8.8 million in 2023. #TheyAreAfraid
9.4%, 14%, 93%: the numbers. #TheyAreAfraid
Vote intention September 2026: NDC 42%, APC 26%. #TheyAreAfraid
Osun, August 2026: they still lost by 66,252 votes. #TheyAreAfraid
APC presidential votes, for millions
2015
15.4 million
2019
15.2 million
2023
8.8 million
Results wey INEC declare. For 2023 the winner get 36.6% of votes wey pipo cast and 9.4% of registered voters.
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APC votes: 15.4 million for 2015. 8.8 million for 2023. Dem dey reduce, and dem know am.

9.4%of registered voters choose the man wey dey rule Nigeria now.
14%like how the president perform for 2024, e fall from 54% for 2020.
93%of Nigerians talk say the country dey go wrong direction.
The poll wey dem no dey talk about

NDC 42%. APC 26%.

Who pipo wan vote, September 2026 (SBM Intelligence)
APC 25.5%
NDC
42.2%

Na the second wave of SBM Intelligence 2026 voter sentiment tracker: 1,103 people for 12 states and the FCT. Poll no be vote. Na why every one of us must bring 20.

Osun, August 2026

Dem get everything. Dem still lose.

For Osun, the ruling party get federal power, EFCC freeze the state accounts 10 days before the vote, and the governor stand without any federal backing. The people come out, stay for their polling units, and follow the results reach every collation centre.

The APC candidate lose by 66,252 votes, the biggest margin for Osun since 2014. Na wetin dem see be that. Na wetin dem dey fear for January be that.

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For Osun dem get federal power and dem freeze the state accounts. Dem still lose by 66,252 votes. Dem see am. Dem dey fear.

The math

Dem dey few. We plenty.

Dem get
We get
31 governors.
The people wey elect dem.
Some officials wey dem don compromise.
Thousands of INEC officials wey go do wetin dey right.
The police.
Policemen wey their own pikin dem dey sleep with hunger too.
The power of the state.
The people.
Billions of naira.
20 million witnesses wey get phone.
Convoys and gates.
35 million Nigerians wey dey food crisis and need change.

The people wey dey oppress us no pass the people wey dem dey oppress. Na that arithmetic dem dey fear.

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Dem get 31 governors. We get the people.

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Dem get the police. We get policemen wey their pikin dem dey sleep with hunger too.

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Dem get the power of the state. We get the people. #TheyAreAfraid

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14% approval. 93% talk say na wrong direction. NDC 42%, APC 26%. Numbers no dey lie. Na why dem dey fear.

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Dem sabi count. Na why dem dey fear.

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Where these numbers come from

Attack count: our log of public statements wey get name, by Presidency aides, APC leaders and the APC Presidential Campaign Council, 1 May to 27 September 2026, from BusinessDay, P.M. News, Vanguard, Tribune, The Guardian, Premium Times, TheCable, Naija News, Ripples Nigeria, Nigerian Eye, Legit.ng, Voice of Nigeria and others. Electoral reform: Arbiterz and other reports of the House session of 17 February 2026 (clause 60(3)); reports of the Senate vote wey reject mandatory real-time transmission; EU EOM 2023 report. INEC declared results 2015, 2019 and 2023; International IDEA. Afrobarometer Round 10 (2024). SBM Intelligence voter sentiment tracker (September 2026 wave). Osun 2026: Wikipedia and Daily Trust. Governor defections: Channels TV, Vanguard, Premium Times, ICIR, BusinessDay (April 2025 to March 2026). Senate composition: Vanguard (24 June 2026). Electoral Act 2026 and INEC timetable: Premium Times (February 2026). EFCC and Osun accounts: Wikipedia, Nigerian Bar Association. El-Rufai: Punch (February 2026). Sowore: Wikipedia with Punch and TheCable. CPJ (May 2026). Amnesty International. Premium Times (Tinubu, 30 April 2026). Daily Trust and Leadership (APC chairman, May 2025).

Every figure for this site come from public source wey get name, and we check am for September 2026. Where na we do the arithmetic by ourselves, we talk am.

Vote & Mobilise for Peter Obi & Kwankwaso · #12YearsOfAPC · #TheyAreAfraid · Election na Saturday, 16 January 2027.