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Chapter 3 of 10 · Light and fuel

Dem promise light.
You still dey buy fuel for gen.

Out of all their promises, na this one get number and date. Dem miss am by 15,000 megawatts.

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Dem talk
Generate, transmit and distribute … at least 20,000 MW of light within four years.
APC manifesto, 2015
Wetin you get

The grid send out average of 4,476 MW for 2025. Na only 919 MW more pass 2015, after ten years.

Electricity wey the grid send out, yearly average (megawatts)
Wetin dem promise by 2019
20,000 MW
2015
3,557 MW
2025
4,476 MW
Sources: NBS and NERC (2015); NERC 2025 annual report.
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Dem promise 20,000 megawatts by 2019. For 2025 the grid average na 4,476. Your generator na their report card.

For their own mouth

“A national shame”

For their very first day for 2015, the new APC government talk say: “It is a national shame that an economy of 180 million generates only 4,000MW, and distributes even less.”

Nigeria don get 237 million people now. For one good evening for September 2026, na only 4,379 MW reach the distribution companies.

The grid don collapse pass 100 times since June 2015. 87 million Nigerians no get electricity at all, pass any other country for this world.

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For 2015 dem call 4,000MW for 180 million people “a national shame.” We don reach 237 million now. The shame still be 4,000MW.

Price of one unit of light for Band A houses
2023 ₦66
2024 → today
₦209.50

Dem triple the tariff for 2024. The light no triple.

Fuel

Oil country. Na import petrol we dey use.

Petrol, one litre
May 2015 ₦87
May 2026
₦1,596

E don pass eighteen times. And diesel move from ₦844 to ₦3,277 between 2023 and 2026 alone.

Dem promise to fix the government refineries. From 2021 dem sign almost $3 billion repair contracts. For 2026 the state refineries together dey produce nothing.

Port Harcourt run for six months and e shut for May 2025. Warri start again for December 2024 but e don stop by May 2025. Kaduna never start again.

Dem talk
We dey run am for big big loss to Nigeria. Na just waste of money we dey do.
Bayo Ojulari, head of NNPC, on the Port Harcourt refinery, February 2026
Wetin you get

Almost $3 billion for repair contracts. Zero litres of petrol from government refineries for 2026.

For 2023 dem announce: “The fuel subsidy is gone.” Your pump price triple overnight. But NNPC own accounts show say dem spend ₦7.1 trillion on hidden fuel costs for 2024. You pay the higher price, and the country still pay the subsidy.

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Almost $3 billion of contracts to repair the state refineries. Petrol wey dem produce: zero. Their own oil oga talk am: “We were just wasting money.”

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Dem say subsidy don go. You pay ₦1,596 for one litre. Dem still spend ₦7.1 trillion on am for 2024. Na for who the subsidy dey?

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Light no dey. Fuel dey cost like gold. Na so dem wan rule us another four years?

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Where these numbers come from

APC manifesto (2013/2015). Inaugural address, 29 May 2015 (Nairametrics transcript). NBS and NERC power data (2015); NERC 2025 annual report (grid output and collapses); Tribune, 24 September 2026 (4,379MW); World Bank (people without power, population). NERC and Ikeja Electric tariff orders. NBS petrol and diesel price watch. Refinery contracts: Nairametrics, Daily Trust, BusinessKorea, Vanguard; NNPC quote: Vanguard, 5 February 2026. NNPC 2024 accounts via Vanguard; World Bank on the implicit subsidy.

Every figure for this site come from public source wey get name, and we check am for September 2026. Where na we do the arithmetic by ourselves, we talk am.

Vote & Mobilise for Peter Obi & Kwankwaso · #12YearsOfAPC · #TheyAreAfraid · Election na Saturday, 16 January 2027.